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What are the Odds of Any NFL Team Going Undefeated This Year?

The 2022 NFL season is nearly upon us, and sportsbooks including DraftKings, PointsBet, and FanDuel are dealing odds on whether an NFL team will go undefeated this year, either throughout the regular season or all the way through Super Bowl 57.

Odds on Any NFL Team to Go Undefeated

Will Any NFL Team Have a Perfect Season? DraftKings PointsBet fan duel
Any Team To Go 17-0 +1400 +1300 +1100
Any Team To Go 20-0 +4000 +4000 N/A

DraftKings and FanDuel also offer the ‘no’ side of the regular-season prop. DraftKings prices the ‘no’ at -3500, while FanDuel goes -2400. PointsBet does not offer the ‘no.’

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This is an intriguing betting market when you consider the unlikelihood of it happening for just the fifth time in NFL history. The Chicago Bears accomplished the feat twice, but that was back in the 1930s and 1940s.

The Miami Dolphins became the only team to run the table during the regular season and NFL Playoffs during its Super Bowl title season in 1972. Players from that team still toast the accomplishment with champagne when the NFL’s final undefeated team loses each season.

Sportsbooks are offering odds on any team to go undefeated during the 2022 NFL season, at the 1972 Dolphins of Bob Griese and Don Shula (AP Photo/Toby Massey, File)

Most recently, the New England Patriots went 16-0 during the 2007 regular season. The Patriots provide the only modern-day blueprint for an undefeated season. New England led the NFL in scoring with 36.8 points per game that year under the direction of league MVP Tom Brady.

The Pats failed to join the Dolphins with a perfect season, however. New England was a 12.5-point favorite against the New York Giants in the Super Bowl but came away from that game with a bitter 17-14 loss.

Odds on Top NFL Teams to Go Undefeated

DraftKings also has odds on specific teams to go 17-0. Here’s that list:

Odds On NFL Teams To Go Undefeated 2022 DraftKings Implied Probability
Bills +3500 2.78%
Buccaneers +3500 2.78%
packers +4000 2.44%
rams +4000 2.44%
chiefs +5000 1.96%

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Making the ‘Undefeated’ Case for Five NFL Teams

Buffalo Bills (+3500)

Buffalo is the consensus favorite in Super Bowl 57 odds at sportsbooks across the US. It stands to reason they are among the NFL’s five teams to have a shot at going undefeated, for these odds.

The Bills are in the middle of the pack in terms of strength of schedule. Buffalo has the 14th most difficult slate of the league’s 32 teams. We won’t have to wait long for Buffalo’s first big test.

The Bills play the defending Super Bowl champion Rams in LA to begin the 2022 NFL season on September 8.

Also read: NFL Week 1 odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3500)

Tampa Bay went 13-4 during last year’s regular season. The Bucs suffered their first loss of 2021 in Week 3 against the Rams. Tampa Bay then mixed in a mysterious loss to the Washington Commanders in between being swept by the New Orleans Saints.

The Bucs get another opening-season game against the Dallas Cowboys, who narrowly defeated at home last year, 31-29. This year’s season opener will be played September 11 at Dallas.

The Bucs play the league’s fourth-toughest schedule this season.

Green Bay Packers (+4000)

The Packers also tallied a 13-4 record last year to tie the Bucs for the NFL’s best regular-season record. Green Bay is minus some quality wide receivers after the departures of Davante Adams (Las Vegas) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chiefs).

It remains to be seen who’ll emerge as the top target for QB Aaron Rodgers. Will it be the aging Randall Cobb, oft-injured Sammy Watkins, or rookie WR Christian Watson?

Los Angeles Rams (+4000)

The Rams, in our humble opinion, have the best chance to run the table. Matthew Stafford has a trio of top receivers in Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson II, and Van Jefferson. It remains to be seen what happens to O’Dell Beckham Jr.

But it’s LA’s defense, led by Aaron Donald, that will give it a chance against the NFL’s toughest schedule this year.

Kansas City Chiefs (+5000)

In Patrick Mahomes, do you trust? The Chiefs are worthy of being in the undefeated conversation given the weapons Mahomes still has on offense. TE Travis Kelce should especially prosper even more with WR Tyreek Hill in Miami.

We’ll know quickly how KC comes together as a team. The Chiefs face the Cardinals, Chargers, Colts, and Buccaneers during the first month of the season.

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Is there a viable wager to be had among the NFL’s undefeated betting markets? The suggestion here is to tread carefully and approach these markets with small bets in the spirit of fun.

Today’s NFL either profits from or is plagued by parity, depending on your worldview. That certainly doesn’t help the chances for an undefeated season. All you need to do is examine the implied probability of the five teams above to run the board this season. Your best chance is 2.78% to win on the Bills and Bucs. Meh.

In the aforementioned spirit of fun, here are three bets to consider in the NFL’s undefeated betting markets:

  • Any team to go 17-0? YES (+1400 at DraftKings)
  • Any team to go 20-0? YES (+4000 at DraftKings)
  • LA Rams to go 17-0? YES (+4000 at DraftKings)

Put $20 on each of these and you could win a total of $1,080 and be a part of NFL history. My colleague Travis Pulver, who does an incredible job in the football betting space, likes to make futures bets on the NFL and college football. Personally, I don’t have the patience. Perhaps, I’ll just Venmo $60 to him and consider it done.

Additional NFL Betting Markets to Consider

Heading into the NFL season, there are several betting markets you can wager on across the industry. We’ve written about a number of them already and offer these recent pieces up for your review:

Also read: 2022 NFL Hall of Fame Game: How to Bet Jaguars vs. raiders

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