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Horse racing tips: Best bets for Tuesday with Shayne O’Cass

Daily Telegraph analyst Shayne O’Cass gives his best bets and runs the rule over the Quaddie legs at Moruya and Tamworth.

The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!

MORUYA

BEST BET

Race 7, No.1: BOLD OFFA

Yass trained son of Bon Hoff who has won two of his five starts and resumed with an honorable second to Prince Nicconi.

NEXT BEST

Race 1, No.3: THREETHUMBSUP

Shamus Award are a debut from the Joe Cleary stable. Looked the part in his only trial of him back on Oct 21.

VALUE BET

Race 4, No.1: DEFCON ONE

Was building up to a win prior to his last start but ran seventh of 10, wholly as a result of a leader-biased track so needs to be forgiven.

quaddie

Race 4: 2.14

Race 5: 7

Race 6: 4

Race 7: 1

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

Jess Taylor and Theresa Bateup, a dynamic duo, could bag themselves a hat-trick.

TAMWORTH

BEST BET

Race 4, No.13: LES GIRLS

Didn’t really fire in her two starts in Queensland at her first prep. Trialling like she could bounce straight into the winner’s stall.

NEXT BEST

Race 5, No.6: ZOFFANY’S GAZE

Talented local who has raced four times for wins and two seconds. Handles the wet and has the home ground advantage.

VALUE BET

Race 3, No.5: ARLIEBEL

Tamworth filly by the German-based stallion, our own Counterattack. Have more talent the CV suggests.

THE INSIDE MAIL FOR MORUYA

RACE 4

Defcon One ran two really nice races to start the new campaign off which accounts for his $3.40 starting price at the Sapphire Coast on July 24. He drew barrier 7, was seventh at the turn and seventh at the finish but there was some wicked track bias on the day; it was deadset Casino Dogs style racing. Serafima turned three on Monday and is by our newest Champion First Season Sire – Russian Revolution. This Kerry Parker-trained filly was a distant but highly pleasing second to Alpine Lady last start. Ella third-up and can peak now. Watch Me Nae Nae has minor claims.

Beth: Defcon One to win, Quinella 2.14

RACE 5

Rapidity has a compelling set of numbers right across the board really. Let’s just look at her record of her at the track to begin with; seven starts for two wins and three placings. She loves the trip and perhaps most importantly, she has a penchant for rain affected ground. Recent form is outstanding. Northernero has a massive benchmark rating – 82. Even with the claim, he will go around with 63kg but he has to be respected. Girls Are Ready has raced 10 times on Heavy tracks for four wins and four placings.

Beth: Rapidity to win

RACE 6

Shaka Rock is a Theresa Bateup son of Proisir who is effective all the up to a mile. This is 1200m but he is fresh and he has won over the ‘six’. On top of that, the race is going to look very different at post time than it did at acceptance time, all to Shaka Rock’s advantage of him. It could be that he is just too good for those who do eat. That said, Keith Dryden’s All Formidable is no pushover. Not completely sold on the gelding if it was really heavy underfoot but he is no outright duffer either. They look the two surely? Honorable mentions to Westgove and Lai See.

Beth: Shaka Rock to win, exact 4 to beat 5

RACE 7

Bold Offa is a lightly-raced son of the former iron horse and vastly underrated stallion, Bon Hoffa. This Yass housed entire has raced five times for two wins and a second. That second came as recently as July 24 when he resumed at the Sapphire Coast. He kind of half looked the winner at the 200m but not for long once Prince Nicconi got off the fence. My Bold Boy has been with Mitchell Beer for his last four runs and is ‘2112’. They were back in March and April and all over 1000m where he led from carpark barriers. Little River Rose can figure on her best form.

Beth: Bold Offa to win

THE INSIDE MAIL FOR TAMWORTH

RACE 4

Les Girls is from a family that needs little introduction to breeding buffs, suffice to say ‘Best In Show’. Now to more pertinent matters, ie the punt, Les Girls failed to fire a shot in her two runs up in Queensland at her first preparation. This Kris Lees-trained filly has certainly been trialling like a horse that will win races. You could say precisely the same about Lostma Cowboy who has the home-ground advantage. Tennagain is from the astute Todd Howlett stables and he would have been rightfully pleased with this gelding’s three runs.

Beth: Les Girls to win or if scratched Lostma Cowboy to win, quinella 10,13

RACE 5

Zoffany’s Gaze is quite a promising horse. You can’t knock what he has done, namely four starts for two wins and two seconds. All four of the gelding’s runs have been here at the home track and he seems to go on any type of ground. He’s the sort of horse who would probably go okay in the right style of Highway. Small Town is another locale. This Sur Grills-trained son of Your Song has the race fitness on his side of it. She’s Contrary is handy and a massive watch is demanded on Cody Morgan’s Dimension in his ‘own race’ of her.

Beth: Zoffany’s Gaze to win

RACE 6

Scorched Land has been so well placed by Todd Howlett that he has won over $100,000. The son of Sizzling has raced 28 times, won five, four seconds and two thirds. He has always raced well at Tamworth and like all good Snitzel descendants, he handles the slop. That goes double for Flying Banjo. This Tasmanian-bred gelding has two wins and two seconds from six runs on Heavy. Better still, he is a last start track/distance winner at his first ‘go’. market watch on Vanbari whose father won the Golden Slipper and mother ran last in one.

Beth: Scorched Land to Win

RACE 7

Warrah Flash’s prospects are better explained by numbers rather than words. The Cody Morgan-trained son of Salade has raced at Tamworth five times for a win, two seconds and a third. This is pretty much his pet trip from him; he has a win and a second and a third from four 1200m Tamworth runs. The big, big caveat is the Heavy going if it gets that bad on the day. Scott Singleton-trained Chestnut Scaffa is well-placed enough in the race itself but he has some worrisome heavy stats. Foxstorm could be saved for Scone on Friday but he has claims here too.

Beth: Warrah Flash to win

Originally published as Race day focus: Best bets, inside mail for Moruya, Tamworth

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