Fantasy Premier League mailbag: Prime differentials, finest goalkeepers and Nunez

We’re in an unprecedented state of affairs in terms of our FPL groups – the transfers we make will now simply need to be for the following two video games earlier than the month-plus World Cup hiatus.

Lengthy-term planning and persistence are out the window, it is a points-now mentality that you just want for gameweeks 15 and 16.

The Athletic‘s Abdul Rehman solutions your questions on learn how to handle your group as much as the World Cup…


I’m in search of a enjoyable participant with excessive potential upside to punt on for 2 weeks. They need to be low-owned however with aptitude and haul potential, and never on the FPL neighborhood radar in the mean time. Who suits that temporary? I am considering of somebody like Michael Olise, Julian Alvarez or Allan Saint-Maximin, however am open to strategies! — Ed W.

Alvarez (£6.0million) positively suits the high-upside invoice, though that is provided that Erling Haaland is confirmed out for Manchester Metropolis vs Fulham tomorrow (Saturday). He received a objective and two assists in opposition to Sevilla in Metropolis’s Champions League recreation on Wednesday. That will have been round 15 factors.

I additionally just like the look of Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9million). He’s a confirmed Premier League goalscorer and appears to be again to health now, beginning the final three video games for Everton and in addition scoring a objective. His subsequent two fixtures are in opposition to Leicester Metropolis (H) and Bournemouth (A), so you possibly can’t actually ask for significantly better. He’s additionally their penalty taker and, on the time of writing, is barely owned by 0.8 per cent of managers.

When you actually wish to push the boat out, Anthony (£7.6million) of Manchester United is an effective shout too.

United’s subsequent two fixtures are good for his or her assault, for my part, as Aston Villa and Fulham aren’t precisely watertight on the again. He did miss Gameweek 14 and their Europa League recreation final night time with a minor damage, although, so you’ll have to control that.

Crystal Palace’s Olise (£5.4million) is an effective possibility, too, however I feel it is perhaps too quickly for Saint-Maximin (£6.2million). He solely performed 4 minutes for Newcastle in Gameweek 14 after being out over a month by means of damage, so I feel he’ll get eased again in.


Who do you see having the most important potential from Scamacca and Calvert-Lewin for the following two fixtures? — Abdul Basith T.

That is a very good query – I feel I desire Calvert-Lewin, largely attributable to his anticipated minutes. West Ham have two good dwelling video games in Crystal Palace and Leicester and Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7million) is their first-choice ahead now. Nevertheless, his sample of early substitutions does put me off a bit.

Calvert-Lewin has much less competitors for his place and is extra of a talisman for his membership and, as acknowledged, can be Everton’s first-choice penalty taker. His subsequent two fixtures are additionally in opposition to groups within the backside 5 for each objectives conceded and anticipated objectives conceded (xGC).


Who’s the very best goalkeeper to personal for the following two gameweeks? — Chris H.

Ooh, that is a tricky one, as there are a number of goalkeepers I like for the following two, together with Jordan Pickford, Dean Henderson and Lukasz Fabianski (or if he’s injured, Alphonse Areola).

Nevertheless, I feel I’d go for Robert Sanchez (£4.6million), who has Wolves (A) and Villa (H) up subsequent. His Brighton facet have conceded 15 objectives (fifth-best) with an xGC of 13.31 (additionally fifth). Wolves and Villa are additionally within the backside three for objectives scored to date.

Henderson (£4.7million) in all probability has probably the most potential for giant hauls, although. Nottingham Forest play Brentford and Palace, each at dwelling, subsequent. Forest concedes loads of pictures, so if he’s on kind, Henderson will get save factors. He already has three double-digit hauls this season.

However, he might get two factors over the following two. It actually is dependent upon your threat urge for food.


Hello Abdul, who’re the very best Ivan Toney replacements at £8million and below? Is it price taking a success to get Callum Wilson in at this level? — Venance R.

My prime three Toney replacements at £8m and below are Wilson (£7.5million), Gabriel Jesus (£8.0million) and Calvert-Lewin, in that order. Wilson and Calvert-Lewin have first rate fixtures and though Jesus has Chelsea and Wolves away in his subsequent two, he’s able to hauls in opposition to any facet with how this Arsenal group are taking part in.

With reference to your second query, it actually is dependent upon in case you have a good sub to play this week.

If in case you have somebody with a very good fixture, I do not assume I’d take the hit. You may then simply take away Toney in Gameweek 16. In case your sub is actually weak, or you don’t have any match gamers to deputise, then go for the hit.


Hello there, thanks for doing this. So I’m transport out Wilfried Zaha this week and am considering of changing him with both Leandro Trossard or Marcus Rashford. I’ve £0.5million within the financial institution. Another choices you’d advise? I’m already tripled up on Newcastle and Manchester Metropolis and have Gabriel Martinelli within the ranks. Thanks! —Lawrence B..

Type, Trossard (£6.9million) and Rashford (£6.7million) are the highest two choices to exchange Zaha, given your funds. Each have been nice this season. When you wished to take a little bit of a punt, then Harvey Barnes (£6.9million) of Leicester is not the worst choose on this planet.


Given Fulham’s two fixtures, what are your ideas on a transfer from Andreas Pereira to Crysencio Summerville (Leeds, £4.4million)? — Sal T.

I’m not too certain about this transfer, to be completely trustworthy. Firstly it looks as if a waste of a switch, until Pereira is considered one of your beginning 11. If he is not, then it is best to make use of the switch in your weakest starter somewhat than a bench participant.

Nevertheless, I nonetheless do not assume I’d make this transfer even when Pereira is a starter for you – he’s merely a greater possibility regardless. If you’re set on transferring him out, then I’d somewhat go for Leon Bailey (Villa, £4.6million)who has way more upside.


Hiya Abdul, would you begin (Leicester’s) Danny Ward or Robert Sanchez in objective this week? Thanks! — Momburac.

Sanchez, after all. Brighton’s opponents Wolves have scored the fewest objectives (six) to date, with an xG of 13.62 (fifteenth within the division). Plus, they do not have a acknowledged ahead going into this recreation — Diego Costa is suspended and Raul Jimenez and Sasa Kalajdzic are each injured.


I’m contemplating switching out Aleksandar Mitrovic for Scamacca for his higher fixtures in Gameweeks 15 and 16. Nevertheless, I’m but to be satisfied about Scamacca as a constant scorer and he may get changed by Michail Antonio. That mentioned, Mitrovic has Man Metropolis and Man United these subsequent two gameweeks, that are powerful fixtures — Phil B.

It is not a straightforward choice in eradicating Mitrovic and it is one thing I have not determined myself but. Nevertheless, I do assume if you will discover a greater switch elsewhere, like upgrading a midfielder, the place you bench Mitrovic this week, I might select that route.

If you’re not ready to do that, the transfer to Scamacca is not a nasty one. He has two first rate dwelling fixtures, in opposition to Palace and Leicester, subsequent. His minutes will in all probability be hampered by Antonio, as we now have seen already, however I do assume he’s their first selection and if he will get round 70 minutes in every of the following two video games, he’s price it.

I’d additionally contemplate Dominic Solanke, should you do not have already got him. Leeds United (A) and Everton (H) are good fixtures for Bournemouth and he’s nailed-on to begin if match and takes their penalties. He’s additionally solely £5.7million, so will mean you can improve elsewhere.


I’ve slowly slipped into the previous few gameweeks from being within the 20,000s to 90,000s. How can I cease the rot and get inexperienced arrows within the subsequent two gameweeks when I’ve an injured Bukayo Saka and no switch left (already accomplished Toney to Wilson)? Take aggressive minus-fours or play it secure? —Jack C.

When you’ve a nasty gameweek, or a pair again to again, it is vital to not knee-jerk and make emotional choices. The most effective factor to do is hold calm and hold taking part in your recreation. It is tempting to take punts and go rogue in your captain decisions to attempt to make up the misplaced floor nevertheless it actually is just too early for that.

Saka appears like he’s match to play for Arsenal as he has been coaching this week, so you have to be fantastic there. The most effective guess would in all probability be to bench him and play an ready sub but when you do not have one then a success for Phil Foden (should you can afford him at £8.5million) would in all probability be the one one justified for a success – I’m assuming you do not have sufficient for the likes of Kevin De Bruyne and Mohamed Salah.

Even with the Foden transfer, there isn’t a ensures he begins at dwelling to Fulham (I personally assume he’ll) so hopefully you’ve a very good bench possibility if it seems to be the worst-case situation and Saka doesn’t play both.


When you had been to choose one participant (exterior the standard choose — Haaland, Martinelli, et cetera) in every place for the following two gameweeks, who would they be and why? —Mark M.

My prime differential picks for every place could be:

Goalkeeper: Sanchez. Brighton’s two video games in opposition to Wolves and Villa don’t get significantly better from a defensive perspective.

Defender: Kurt Zouma (£4.5million). West Ham play Palace and Leicester at dwelling within the subsequent two and are a strong defensive facet conceding solely 13 objectives with an xGC of 12.89 (each fourth). He is an effective worth and nailed to begin if match. Zouma additionally has 10 pictures within the field with an xG of 1.05, which is the very best among the many West Ham protection and fifth general on the place.

Midfielder: James Maddison (£8.2million). He has been ticking alongside very properly with six objectives and two assists and is the very best FPL possibility within the Leicester facet. He’s on set items too, which heightens his attraction – he’s the kind of participant who can ship a factors haul in opposition to any group. He already has objectives in opposition to Arsenal and Tottenham this season.

Ahead: Darwin Nunez (£8.9million). He’s taking part in as the primary centre-forward for Liverpool now and can get the vast majority of massive probabilities for them. Spurs (A) on Sunday is not the very best fixture, however I do assume Liverpool will rating there and their fixture in opposition to Southampton (H) in Gameweek 16 is pretty much as good because it will get. I do not assume many will plump for him because of the Tottenham journey, so he could possibly be an ideal alternative to get forward of the curve.


Be sure to take a look at The Athletic Soccer Podcast, hosted by The FPL Basic, for all the newest ideas and tips. Catch that without cost on all the standard listening suppliers and ad-free on The Athletic app.

(Important picture: Brighton keeper Sanchez might rating massive in his last two World Cup matches. Picture: Glyn Kirk/AFP by way of Getty Pictures)

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