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Dubbo races: Best bets, inside mail, preview, Sunday racing

Trainer Brett Cavanough is hoping the weather cooperates and the track can improve enough for Afewchoicewords to continue producing her best form.

The four-year-old mare only joined Cavanough’s Scone base a couple of months ago and has quickly notched two impressive wins from three starts including one at Dubbo.

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“She is racing very well but she does prefer to be on top of the ground,” Brett Cavanough said.

“She came from Chris Waller to me because she wasn’t handling the wet tracks.

“We have found two good tracks and one shifting track in the three runs she has had for me and she won both times on the firmer tracks.

“She is ready to go and I thought she could have won at Scone on Friday but the meeting was called off.

“Hopefully the track dries up and can improve a bit. If it can get back to a Soft 6, that would help her.”

While drier surfaces have allowed the mare to find form, a drop in grade from metropolitan and provincial lever has also played a role in her fortunes.

The well-bred daughter of I Am Invincible led all-the-way over 1300m at Dubbo on June 3 at her first start for Cavanough before an eighth to Exolay at Port Macquarie.

She bounced back with another stylish win at Tamworth two weeks ago in a Class 1 over 1400m.

On Sunday, she steps up to a Class 2 over 1420m where she has drawn ideally in barrier 2.

“As well as getting those drier tracks, she has appreciated coming back in grade,” said Cavanough.

“At Tamworth the other day, she bounced away, sat up on the speed and gave them a smacking.

“It’s really boosted her confidence and hopefully she can carry on racing the way she is.”

Former Victorian gelding Rhythm Is The Dancer made his debut for Cavanough at Scone on July 15 with a three-quarter length second behind Willinga Freefall and looks a good chance in the Maiden Handicap over 1420m.

“He went well at Scone at his first run for us and he has trialled nicely since that run. I’m pretty happy with him,” he said.

“My son, Jack, identified him in Victoria and we bought him.

“This is his practice horse to learn about training and he has a fair bit to say about him.

“Jack is in the process of getting his trainer’s license and he’s also breeding a few so he’s setting himself up to train.”

Cavanough will also saddle up Menotti in the same race.

“He’s just been a tad disappointing. Ash (Morgan) got off him at the other day and said to keep him to 1400 meters; he will learn what racing is about.

“He has just been over-revving in the 1000m races.

“Over 1400 meters at Tamworth last start, I have raced OK without being super.

“He’s a horse who hasn’t switched on yet. He’s a bit immature mentally and will take a bit of time.”

BEST BETS

BEST BET

Race 4, No.3: DALAVIN

The Brett Robb-trained gelding is in great form with solid wins at his past two starts. He has excellent wet track stats and can bring up the hat-trick.

NEXT BEST

Race 5, No.2: RHYTHM IS A DANCER

Ran a terrific first-up when second at Scone over 1100m. You have since won a Scone trial in good style and ready for the step up to 1420m.

VALUE BET

Race 6, No.6: HIT THE RIM

Is knocking on the door for another win after closing off strongly to finish runner-up at his past two starts.

quaddie

Race 5: 2, 5, 6, 9

Race 6: 1, 2, 5, 6

Race 7: 1, 2, 6, 9

Race 8: 3, 4, 5, 6

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

Brooke Stower has a strong book of rides including Chelsea Amanda, Healing Hands, Rhythm IA Dancer and Wasserman. Will go close in the TAB Jockey Challenge.

INSIDEMAIL

RACE 1

Chelsea Amanda makes her race debut after a solid trial at Scone recently. Narrowly beaten but never let off the bit. By Your Song whose progeny usually handle it wet and drawn to get an ideal run. Keep On Going is coming off a second placing at big odds at Scone on July 25. The winner Polylithic won by a big margin but this gelding came from midfield and never lost any ground. Zoisite and Our In Force are worth including in the multiples.

Bet: Chelsea Amanda to win. Quinella 2, 6

RACE 2

Shadow Chaser was caught wide without cover in a Highway at Rosehill last weekend. Previous form was good including a Gulgong win two runs back. Can bounce back here. Sharpay Ruler won on debut in August 2020 then summarized from a long spell with a win this track and distance in January before finishing down the track at his next two. Resumes here and shown he does his best when fresh. Billy Bent Ear is racing in great form with two wins and a second from his last three runs. Makuba was third to Billy Bent Ear last start and won’t be far away again.

Bet: Shadow Chaser each-way

RACE 3

Majority has shown good ability in her short career winning four of 10 starts including back-to-back wins at Tamworth before a close up fourth in a Highway at Kensington on January 1. Resumed with a win at Mudgee in April before another break. Ella has good first-up numbers and can kick off with another win. Everyone followed consecutive wins with a fifth to Moetta and a second to Riccardo at Moree last start. Like sit wet and is the main danger. Denace is better than her first-up run at Gilgandra. Tongue tied on for the first time. Hampton Cove has claims.

Bet: Majority to win

RACE 4

Dalavin has finished top four in seven of his nine runs this campaign including four wins. Only two failures were in Highway. He led all-the-way at his past two including this track last start. Healing Hands has spent a lot of time on the sidelines since his sixth in the 2020 Country Championships final. He has trialled nicely in preparation for his return from him here and has good first-up figures. Moetta is racing very consistently including a win two starts back and a close second last time out. Bull Bull has also trialled well ahead of his return from him and will give a bold sight.

Bet: Dalavin to win

RACE 5

Former Victorian Rhythm Is A Dancer debuted for the Brett Cavanough stable with a strong second to Willinga Freefall at Scone on July 15 after racing wide throughout. He was first-up from a spell so he will take good improvement from the run and he has since won a barrier trial. He drawn wide but can overcome the gate. Julinka was much better last start when coming from well back for a close second over 1315m here on July 15. He Will appreciate the extra distance. Crystal Beanz has placed her past two and won’t be far away. Menotti can run into the money.

Bet: Rhythm Is A Dancer to win

RACE 6

Hit The Rim charged home from a long way back when he just missed catching Easy Rosie over 1300m at Canberra last start. He was okay when he km in a Highway at Rosehill two runs earlier before second in a Tamworth Open. He has won here and step up to 1420m is perfect. The Long Run scored an upset win at Wellington last start over a number of horses he meets here. A Magic Zariz and Jailbreak were third and fifth respectively in that Welling race. Sure to make their presence felt.

Bet: Hit The Rim each-way

RACE 7

Afewchoicewords has found her best form this campaign winning two of her three runs. Both have come on Good tracks including a two length win here first-up. Key to her chances of her is track getting back to a soft 5 or 6. Not Too Bad charged home to score a smart win at Coonabarabran over a mile last time out. Back in trip but handles it wet. Shades Of Magic defied a betting drift to score a nice win in a Wellington maiden last time out. You have claims on that run. Inzaghi is worth including in the multiples on her win from her here two runs back.

Bet: Afewchoicewords to win

RACE 8

Wasserman was third to the in-form Afewchoicewords on June 3 before winning his next start, both at this track, before a second last time out. Big chance. The Pres has been up since April and continues to race very well. Placed at his last four of him including a second to Rebel County in a Class 2 at Goulburn. Deel Street was just beaten by Eptiwins two runs back at Moree before a fair third to Osman at Forbes. Drawn well and among the chance again. Bandahara is worth including in the multiples.

Bet: Wasserman to win

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